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Market Moving News
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| Intra-day Market Moving News |
| 7 Apr 2026 |
23:20 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported a White House official said a ceasefire in the Iran war will come into effect when Tehran opens the Strait of Hormuz, Axios reported on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump posted online that he will suspend Iran's bombardment for two weeks.
The first round of talks between Washington and Tehran are scheduled to take place on Friday in Islamabad, Axios reported. Pakistan has been acting as a mediator between Washington and Tehran.
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| 7 Apr 2026 |
23:04 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, citing source from state media, Iran's Supreme Security Council says :
- it submitted 10-point proposal to United Sates via Pakistan
- negotiations with U.S. will be held in Islamabad to finalize details, with the aim of confirming Iran's battlefield achievements politically within maximum of 15 days
- talks will begin Friday April 10, and may be extended if both sides agree
- 10-point proposal included controlled transit through Strait of Hormuz coordinated with Iranian armed forces, ending war against Iran and allied groups, withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from all regional bases
- talks with U.S. do not mean end of war
- it will only accept war's conclusion once details are finalized in line with the 10-point plan
- 10-point proposal included lifting all primary and secondary sanctions, payment of full compensation to Iran and release of all frozen Iranian assets
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| 7 Apr 2026 |
22:58 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that he had agreed to a two-week ceasefire with Iran, less than two hours before his deadline for Tehran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or face widespread attacks on its civilian infrastructure.
The announcement on social media was the latest example of Trump backing down from severe threats, after he warned Iran earlier on Tuesday that "a whole civilization will die tonight" if his demands were not met.
Trump said the deal was subject to Iran's agreement to pause its blockade of oil and gas supplies through the strait, which typically handles about one-fifth of global oil shipments.
"This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE!" Trump wrote on his Truth Social platform. "The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East."
Trump said Iran had presented a 10-point proposal that was a "workable basis" for negotiations and that he expected an agreement to be "finalized and consummated" during the two-week ceasefire.
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| 5 Apr 2026 |
19:51 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported U.S. President Donald Trump said his deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or face attacks on critical infrastructure is Tuesday evening, according to an interview he gave to the Wall Street Journal on Sunday.
"If they don't do something by Tuesday evening, they won't have any power plants and they won't have any bridges standing," Trump told the Journal.
Trump later posted on social media, without mentioning Iran or any other details: "Tuesday, 8:00 P.M. Eastern Time!" Representatives for the White House could not be immediately reached for comment on the post.
In a separate post earlier on Sunday, Trump had said Iran would face infrastructure attacks if it did not open the strait by Tuesday, but gave no specific time.
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| 2 Apr 2026 |
01:26 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG then reported U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday Washington will strike Iran "extremely hard" over the next two to three weeks and hit the country into the "Stone Ages."
"We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks. We are going to bring them back to the Stone Ages, where they belong," Trump said in a nationally televised address.
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| 2 Apr 2026 |
01:18 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, U.S. President Trump, on Iran, says :
- we are on track to complete all of America's military objections, shortly very shortly
- we're going to hit them extremely hard over next two to three weeks
- in meantime, discussions are ongoing
- we could hit their oil
- we have all cards they have none
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
14:03 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported U.S. manufacturing activity picked up in March, though a measure of prices paid by factories for inputs jumped to the highest level in nearly four years and suppliers took longer to deliver material amid the war in the Middle East.
The Institute for Supply Management said on Wednesday its manufacturing PMI edged up to 52.7 last month, the highest reading since August 2022, from 52.4 in February. It was the third consecutive month that the PMI was above the 50 level, which indicates expansion. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the PMI little changed at 52.5.
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
13:40 |
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
13:33 |
USD/CAD - 1.3882... LSEG reported Canada's manufacturing sector stagnated in March as U.S. tariffs and uncertainty linked to the Middle East war led to a decline in output and raised input costs, data showed on Wednesday.
The S&P Global Canada Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) fell to 50.0 last month from 51.0 in February, marking the lowest level in three months. A reading above 50 shows expansion in the sector, while a sub-50 reading shows contraction.
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
13:26 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, during AEI event, St. Louis Fed's Musalem says :
- Fed's dual mandate is pro-growth
- if nominal interest rate comes lower, the 10-year yield will decline too
- supply chain disruptions from Iran war include helium, aluminum, fertilizer
- I am committed to getting inflation down to 2%
- need to demonstrate commitment to 2% inflation every day
- need to verify the waning of tariff inflation
- we are better off on inflation indicators than the 1970s
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
13:10 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, in an interview with Reuters, US President Trump says :
- "we've had full regime change" in Iran
- 'we're going to be out of Iran pretty quickly,' won't give timeline
- we have some more targets left; if we have to, we'll come back to do spot hits
- Iran will not have a nuclear weapon 'nor do they want one'
- will express 'my disgust' with NATO in his speech; says he is 'absolutely' considering withdrawing U.S. from NATO
- does not care about nuclear material; will watch by satellite
LSEG then reported the United States will be "out of Iran pretty quickly" and could return for "spot hits" if needed, President Donald Trump told Reuters on Wednesday, hours before he was scheduled to make a primetime address to the nation.
Trump also said he would state in the speech that he is considering withdrawing the U.S. from the NATO alliance.
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
13:08 |
Continues from previous update...
In this environment, Musalem said "the risks to the labor market and inflation both tilt in unfavorable directions, that is, toward a weaker labor market and greater persistence of above-target inflation."
He noted that it's been an extended practice for the Fed to look through supply shocks as likely temporary drivers of higher inflation, but the current situation may be different.
"History suggests caution is warranted, however, especially when underlying inflation is persistently above target," Musalem said. "Supply shocks may be more likely to have a persistent impact on inflation and inflation expectations, especially given the difficulty of identifying how much underlying inflation is due to temporary supply shocks as opposed to persistent demand pressures."
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
13:07 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said on Wednesday he doesn't see a near-term need for the U.S. central bank to change its interest rate stance, as he warned of rising inflation risks tied to the war in the Middle East.
"Policy is well positioned to address risks to both dual mandate objectives, and I expect the current setting of the policy rate will remain appropriate for some time," Musalem said in the text of a speech to be delivered before a gathering at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington.
"The economic outlook is highly uncertain," he said. And while the baseline outlook holds for decent levels of growth, stability in the unemployment rate and further moderation in inflation, he added that "uncertainty from the Middle East conflict and unsettled tariff policy could weigh on consumer and business spending in the first half of the year."
Musalem also said "higher fuel, aluminum and fertilizer prices" could also weigh on the economy.
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
12:38 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported U.S. retail sales increased solidly in February as motor vehicle purchases rebounded and temperatures warmed up, but surging gasoline prices because of war in the Middle East could crimp spending in the months ahead.
Retail sales rose 0.6% after a revised 0.1% dip in January, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast retail sales, which are mostly goods and are not adjusted for inflation, rising 0.5% after a previously reported 0.2% drop in January. The Census Bureau is still catching up on data releases following delays caused by last year's government shutdown.
Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services increased 0.5% in February after rising 0.2% in January. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product. Consumer spending slowed in the fourth quarter, helping to hold back GDP growth to a 0.7% annualized rate. The economy grew at a 4.4% pace in the third quarter.
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| 1 Apr 2026 |
12:28 |
Continues from previous update...
"(The market)'s still pricing us to raise rates. I would still say that is a judgment markets have to make but I think they're getting ahead of themselves," Bailey said.
Before the crisis, British inflation was on course to fall back to its 2% target and the BoE had said cutting rates further was likely. That changed dramatically with the start of the Iran war.
Bailey said the BoE was looking at a sharp rise in inflation expectations "very carefully" but the message he had received from businesses was that they had limited ability to raise prices.
"Businesses consistently say to me that they're operating in a context of an absence of pricing power," he said.
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