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Market Moving News
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| Intra-day Market Moving News |
| 25 Mar 2026 |
12:54 |
GBP/USD - 1.3392... LSEG news, BoE's Greene says:
- I am more worried about the risks from higher inflation than slower demand from this shock
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| 25 Mar 2026 |
12:49 |
Continues from previous update...
- An informed individual, speaking to a reporter from Fars News Agency and referring to the opposing side's failure to achieve its objectives, stated: "Iran does not accept a ceasefire. Fundamentally, entering such a process with those who violate agreements is not logical."
- The source also noted that the Islamic Republic of Iran, before making any decision regarding the ceasefire requests conveyed by U.S. intermediaries, insists on achieving its strategic objectives in confrontation with the opposing front-and only upon verifying their realization would ending the war (not merely a ceasefire) be possible.
- Political analysts also believe that Iran's comprehensive resistance against the United States, Israel, and their allies has constrained the enemy's room for maneuver, forcing them to seek a way out of the current situation.
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| 25 Mar 2026 |
12:48 |
USD/MAJORS... News worth nothing, citing source from investinglive.com :
FARS -- an Iranian semi-official, regime-aligned outlet was out with a report on ceasefire talks and it's led to some volatility in markets. The report was first out at 7:50 am ET but is getting some more attention in the past few minutes.
Here is what it says (translation):
- Informed sources report increased efforts by the United States to establish a ceasefire and begin indirect negotiations with Iran, but emphasize that Tehran currently considers a ceasefire and negotiations to lack legitimacy.
- While U.S. diplomatic activity has intensified over the past five days-mediated by several countries to achieve a ceasefire-experts describe the shift in Donald Trump's rhetoric as a sign of Washington's retreat in the face of Iran's resistance. However, according to observers, the U.S. government's attempt to preserve its image of strength has led to these requests being presented alongside military and media threats.
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| 25 Mar 2026 |
12:47 |
EUR/USD - 1.1589... LSEG reported the European Central Bank must look beyond swings in oil prices and focus on the overall state of the economy as war rages in the Middle East, ECB policymaker Olli Rehn said on Wednesday.
"Monetary policy must respond, from the standpoint of medium-term price stability, to the overall macroeconomic environment, not to oil prices alone," Rehn told a conference in Frankfurt.
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| 25 Mar 2026 |
07:27 |
GBP/USD - 1.3387... LSEG reported British consumer price inflation held at an annual rate of 3.0% in February, unchanged from January's rate, official figures showed on Wednesday, ahead of a likely upward lurch as war in the Middle East pushes up prices.
Economists polled by Reuters had expected inflation to remain at 3.0%, its lowest level since March 2025.
Before the U.S.-Israeli attack on Iran at the end of February, the Bank of England had forecast that inflation would fall to close to its 2% target in April, when changes to regulated household energy bills and other prices take effect.
But last week the BoE sharply increased its inflation forecast, predicting it would rise towards 3.5% by the middle of the year.
A survey published on Tuesday showed inflation expectations among the British public surged, adding to the BoE's challenge.
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| 24 Mar 2026 |
08:32 |
Continues from previous update...
Tariffs were being felt most sharply in the U.S. market, where 86% of the German firms active reported being affected, DIHK said. Expectations for the year ahead had fallen to a record low.
"The United States is becoming a risk factor," Treier said. "High tariffs, political volatility and legal uncertainty are making long-term planning increasingly difficult."
The DIHK surveyed 2,400 German companies with operations abroad in the first half of last month, before the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran.
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| 24 Mar 2026 |
08:31 |
EUR/USD - 1.1595... LSEG reported German companies said before the start of the Iran war that they were growing more pessimistic about their business overseas amid rising trade barriers and mounting geopolitical risks, the German Chamber of Industry and Commerce (DIHK) said on Tuesday.
DIHK head of foreign trade Volker Treier added that the conflict would only worsen conditions by driving up the cost of container shipping and air freight.
"Free global trade is showing ever deeper cracks," he said.
Some 69% of firms the DIHK surveyed in the first half of February said new trade barriers were hurting their international operations, up 11 percentage points from a year earlier and the highest level since the organisation began collecting the data in 2005.
The outlook was also subdued at that time, with 21% of companies expecting their business to deteriorate, compared with 16% anticipating an improvement.
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| 24 Mar 2026 |
08:30 |
EUR/USD - 1.1592... LSEG reported Germany's private sector growth slowed to its weakest pace in three months in March as services lost momentum and costs surged amid the conflict in the Middle East.
The Flash Germany Composite PMI, a preliminary estimate, fell to 51.9 in March from 53.2 in February, a survey by S&P Global showed. Economists polled by Reuters expected a reading of 52.0.
The 50 mark separates growth from contraction.
Services activity slowed to a seven-month low of 51.2, while the manufacturing PMI climbed to 51.7, a 45-month high.
Manufacturers posted a third straight monthly rise in new orders, with growth the fastest in four years.
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| 24 Mar 2026 |
08:29 |
EUR/USD - 1.1593... LSEG reported France's private sector contracted in March at its fastest pace since October, hit by weak demand, Iran war-linked supply disruptions and client caution ahead of local elections, a business survey showed on Tuesday.
The S&P Global Flash France Composite PMI Output Index, a preliminary estimate, fell to 48.3 in March from 49.9 in February, a survey by S&P Global showed.
The 50-mark separates growth from contraction.
Services activity weakened further, with the flash services index falling to 48.3 from 49.6, its lowest in five months.
Manufacturing output also slipped back into decline for the first time this year, with the related subindex dropping to 48.5 from 51.6, a four-month low, even as the flash manufacturing index edged up to 50.2 from 50.1.
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| 23 Mar 2026 |
18:28 |
Remarkable Pip Performance : Today's Stop-Profit Standouts
AUD/USD (Daily) - Shorted at 0.7090 last Thursday, closed at 0.6985. An amazing 105 pips booked!
USD/CHF (Daily) - Longed at 0.7770 early March, closed at 0.7835. A good 65 pips secured!
GBP/USD (Intra-day) - Longed at 1.3325 after U.S. President Trump's de-escalation Middle East conflict comments, closed at 1.3400. A fantastic 75 pips captured within one-hour!
Total: 245 pips stop-profit secured!
Total: 375 pips of target met booked!
Smart analysis. Precise execution. Capture the trend. Maximize the gains. Cut losses.
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| 23 Mar 2026 |
12:53 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported Iran wants to make a deal badly and that could come within five days or less, U.S. President Donald Trump told Fox Business Network on Monday.
Trump said the most recent talks between U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner and their counterparts took place on Sunday night, Trump said in a telephone interview, according to the host of the "Mornings with Maria" program.
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| 23 Mar 2026 |
12:51 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, in an interview with Bloomberg, Fed's Miran says :
- we shouldn't make policy on short term headlines
- premature to judge current situation
- traditional central bank view is oil shocks don't hit core inflation
- the labor market could still use support from monetary policy
- still not enough clarity to know monetary policy should react to current events
- does expect higher headline inflation but too soon to say it will hit core
- higher energy prices depress demand, offsets some of inflation impact
- it would be highly unusual for Fed to react to oil shock now
- watching for broad based second round impacts from higher energy
- it could happen that higher oil drives up inflation, but not seeing it yet
- policy outlook remains for rate cuts
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| 23 Mar 2026 |
12:43 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, in an interview with Fox Business, US President Trump says :
- Iran wants to make a deal badly, could be within five days or sooner
- talks on deal with Iran that included envoys Kushner and Witkoff and counterparts took place on Sunday night
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| 23 Mar 2026 |
12:35 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, in an interview with CNBC, Fed's Goolsbee says :
- it is an intense moment with a lot in the balance
- at best inflation stalled, Fed is waiting for that to go away; now there is a new shock
- it will be a tough moment for the Fed
- remain optimistic that by the end of 2026 rates could go down, but need proof on inflation
- gas prices have a high impact on household expectations; Fed has to hope it does not have a lasting impact
- the unemployment rate has not gone up much; job creation may not be a good measure of slack
- inflation now seems the great risk
- nobody can tell the Fed what is gong to happen in the conflict
- inflation expectations seem anchored, but once they go wrong it is hard to fix
- Fed could be back in an environment of multiple cuts; also see conditions where the Fed would hike
- historically oil shocks have been stagflationary, making both inflation and joblessness worse
- trying to understand how long it will take high oil prices to impact other parts of the economy
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| 23 Mar 2026 |
12:16 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported U.S. President Donald Trump said on Monday he had given orders to postpone any military strikes against Iranian power plants for five days, hours ahead of a deadline that threatened further escalation in the conflict now in its fourth week.
Trump said in a post on his Truth Social platform that the U.S. and Iran had had "VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE" conversations over the past two days about a "COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION OF HOSTILITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST".
In his message, written entirely in capital letters, he said he had instructed the defense department to postpone the strikes pending the outcome of the talks.
However, Iran's Fars news agency said after Trump's post that there was no direct communication with the U.S. or through intermediaries.
Citing an unnamed source, Fars said Trump had retreated after hearing that Iran would respond by attacking all power plants in the region.
A source briefed on Israel's war plans said Washington had kept it informed of its talks with Tehran, and that Israel was likely to follow Washington in suspending any targeting of Iranian power plants and energy infrastructure.
The prime minister's office did not immediately respond to a request for comment on U.S. talks with Iran or Washington's decision to hold off on striking some Iranian targets.
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