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Market Moving News
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| Intra-day Market Moving News |
| 4 May 2026 |
17:54 |
LSEG reported Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday declared a two-day ceasefire in the conflict with Ukraine on May 8-9 to mark the anniversary of the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War Two, Russia's Defence Ministry said.
The ministry added that it counted on the Ukrainian side to follow suit and that Russia would launch a massive retaliatory missile strike on the centre of Kyiv if Ukraine attempted to disrupt Victory Day celebrations.
"Despite the capabilities at our disposal, Russia has previously refrained from such actions on humanitarian grounds," it said in a statement, adding however that it was ready to act if the ceasefire was not respected.
"We are warning the civilian population of Kyiv and staff at foreign diplomatic missions of the need to leave the city in a timely manner," it said.
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| 4 May 2026 |
17:53 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said Monday that there's more agreement on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee than last week's policy vote suggests.
Williams, speaking in New York, said it's natural to see more disagreement between policymakers in times of uncertainty and change. But he added that even with all of the opposing votes last week against the Fed retaining an easing bias, "I would say there was far more agreement about where policy is today" than that vote indicates.
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| 4 May 2026 |
17:39 |
EUR/USD - 1.1694... LSEG reported U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told European Union and German trade officials over the weekend that the U.S. will move forward with President Donald Trump's plan to raise EU car import tariffs to 25%, according to a statement made Monday on CNBC.
"I was in contact with both European and German trade officials this weekend to help them understand why this was happening and remind them of all the conversations we've had about their compliance," Greer told CNBC in an interview. "I'll continue to have those conversations, but the president's moving forward with this action."
Asked if the tariff should be considered just a piece of a larger negotiation or a permanent state, Greer added: "It's one part of the deal."
As of Monday at 1 p.m. ET, the new tariffs had not been officially adopted.
Trump said on Friday he would increase tariffs on cars from the European Union to 25% next week from the previously agreed 15%, saying the bloc had not complied with its trade deal with Washington.
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| 4 May 2026 |
17:17 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, U.S. President Trump says :
- Iran has taken some shots at unrelated nations with respect to ship movement, project freedom, including a South Korean cargo ship
- perhaps it's time for South Korea to come and join mission
- we've shot down seven small boats or, as they like to call them, "fast" boats
- other than South Korean ship, there has been, at this moment, no damage going through Strait
- Hegseth and chairman of joint Chiefs of Staff, Dan Caine, will have a news conference tomorrow mornings
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| 4 May 2026 |
17:00 |
Continues from previous update...
He said he expected resilient economic growth of between 2% and 2.25% this year amid mostly stable job market conditions, with unemployment holding at a level between 4.25% and 4.50%.
But inflation, challenged by tariffs and energy costs, will likely stay at around 3% this year before moving back to the Fed's 2% target, Williams said. He added that inflation expectations are also mostly steady while warning that energy price rises could be worse than expected.
"Market expectations of the future path of oil prices are fairly benign, but several plausible scenarios entail more severe dislocations in both prices and quantities," Williams said. He added that the Iran war "could result in a larger and broader-based supply shock that has more severe adverse consequences for inflation and economic activity."
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:59 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG reported New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said on Monday the U.S. central bank's monetary policy is "well positioned" to deal with the high level of economic uncertainty facing the economy as a result of the war in the Middle East.
"The future is difficult to see, and the risks to both sides of our mandate have increased," Williams said in the text of remarks to be delivered before a gathering held by the Cynosure Group in New York City.
"The extent and duration of the effects of supply disruptions and higher energy prices that are emanating from the Middle East conflict are key factors that will shape the global economic outlook," he said.
Williams noted that high inflation, mixed job market signals and uncertainty about the war present "an unusual set of circumstances" for Fed policymakers, while refraining from providing guidance on the outlook for the central bank's policy rate, which is currently in the 3.50%-3.75% range.
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:41 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG then reported the U.S. military has destroyed six Iranian small boats and intercepted Iranian cruise missiles and drones fired by Tehran as the U.S. launches an operation to free up shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of Central Command, said on Monday.
Cooper said he "strongly advised" Iranian forces to remain clear of U.S. military assets as it launches the operation. He said a U.S. blockade of Iran, which prevents ships from going to Iran or departing Iranian territory, also remains in effect and was exceeding expectations.
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:26 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, U.S. Admiral says :
- Iran has attempted but failed to interfere by firing at commercial shipping
- U.S. eliminated six Iranian small boats attempting to interfere with commercial shipping
- Iranian forces are strongly advised to remain well clear of U.S. military assets
- U.S. military blockade on Iran is exceeding expectations
- Iran has targeted commercial and U.S. military ships with cruise missiles
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:21 |
USD/MAJORS... Middle East conflict news, citing source from investlinglive.com :
- a source tells CNN that Dubai expect US/Israeli strikes on Iran within the next 24 hours
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:18 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, Iranian state media, citing senior military official, says :
- Iran has no plan to target the UAE
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:17 |
Continues from previous update...
Update: Now there is a report that a fire has erupted at a petroleum industrial site following a drone attack and now risk trades are rolling over and oil is bid. The S&P 500 is quickly down 31 points to 7199.
Update 2: There is now talk of another round of drones and missiles. Brent crude is up more than $5 and WTI is up more than $3.
Update 3: The attack caused a fire in Fujairah, the end point of the pipeline the UAE uses to bypass the Strait of Hormuz.
Update 4: Iranian media are calling it a massive fire but I'll let you be the judge.
Update 5: Another round of missiles have reported just been fired. Obviously, none of this is good news for the war or markets. Brent is now up to $119.
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:16 |
Continues from previous update...
Four loitering munitions coming from Iran towards the country were detected, where three missiles were successfully intercepted over the country's territorial waters, and the last one fell into the sea. The Ministry of Defence confirmed that the sounds heard in scattered areas of the country are the result of the successful interception of the aerial threats. The Ministry urges the honourable public to obtain information from its official sources and verify the facts, in addition to adhering to all public safety measures upon receipt of warning messages.
The UK reports on a cargo vessel 36 nautical miles north of Dubai that has a fire in the engine room and the cause is unknown.
There also numberous loud explosions reported in Dubai, and at the ports of Jebel Ali and Fujairah.
We are in a dangerous moment and the market doesn't seem to care, at least not for now. The loitering munitions they're talking about, if the above translation is correct are likely combos of drones and missiles that were circling over the Strait of Hormuz.
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| 4 May 2026 |
16:15 |
USD/MAJORS... Middle East conflict news, investinglive.com reported :
Iran appears to be striking Fujairah, which is where a pipeline export facility to bypass Hormuz is located.
A short time ago, there were unconfirmed reports of Iranian ballistic missile launches from Isafan province. The speculation at the time is that they were maritime targets.
Iran's Press also published videos of Iran firing 'warning shots' at US Destroyers near the Strait of Hormuz earlier today.
There are now explosions reported in the Dubai area or air defense. The UAE ministry of defense now reports:
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| 28 Apr 2026 |
12:15 |
USD/MAJORS... LSEG news, average weekly U.S. private employment change for 4 weeks ended April 11: 39,250 - ADP
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| 28 Apr 2026 |
07:33 |
USD/JPY - 159.43... LSEG news, BoJ Governor Ueda's comments at news conference :
- that depends on how developments in the Strait affect the economy and prices. We will scrutinise and predict inflation and economic risks and, depending on our assessment, could raise interest rates
- we don't see a strong chance of Japan experiencing a repeat of the 1970s-style oil shock. But one thing in common is that our policy interest rate is below levels deemed neutral to the economy. We will take that into account in guiding policy
- if inflation, especially underlying inflation, clearly overshoots our target, we would need to tighten monetary policy significantly to push down inflation. That would mean our terminal rate could exceed levels deemed neutral to the economy, which could heighten economic volatility
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